4.12.20
What drives social returns to education?
Schooling typically delivers significant private returns, with better educated individuals generally receiving higher earnings. However, the schooling of one person has also the potential to generate significant positive effects on other individuals, through formal and informal social interactions between them. Economists refer to these spillovers as ‘externalities’. These third-party effects also explain the wedge between private and social returns to education: while the former are typically estimated at 5% to 10%, the latter can be as high as 10% to 20%.
This non-technical blog summarises the findings of our recent GLO working paper, in which we seek to understand the factors behind different social returns to education, including the role of economic development. To do so, we conduct what we believe I the first meta-analysis of the social returns to education literature. We analyse over 1,000 econometric estimates from 31 articles published between 1993 and 2020. These articles cover 15 countries in total, a third of which are emerging or developing economies.
Some of our main findings are as follows:
First, education spillovers are stronger when measured at the workplace
(compared to the region, the industry or the country). This may be because people engage much more
directly and intensively within firms, including through face-to-face
communication. This
facilitates deeper interactions, through which the human capital obtained by
each worker from their schooling can more easily spillover to other individuals,
their colleagues, thus magnifying the social effect of schooling.
Second, tertiary schooling and schooling dispersion increase spillovers. It is widely believed that spillovers are
largely generated by highly-educated individuals, thus increase in tertiary
education appears to be a particularly relevant source of such externalities.
Moreover, spillovers tend to decrease as schooling dispersion in the labour
market shrinks.
In the limit, if every worker has the same level of schooling, a higher level
of schooling for the entire workforce may not lead to spillovers as there would
be no scope to learn from more-educated colleagues.
Third, spillovers slow down with economic development. This finding may be driven by the positive association between income and schooling levels at the cross-country level and the diminishing scope for spillovers as schooling levels increase. If a large share of the workforce already has higher levels of schooling, the scope for less-educated workers to learn from their more-educated co-workers is weaker, leading to lower spillovers.
In
conclusion, our findings support the continuing (public and private) investment
in schooling - including tertiary education – as they highlight the strong social
role of education. Education may promote world development both from an
individual private perspective but also in terms of the higher social returns
that it generates, in particular in emerging economies.
(Joint blog with Ying Cui)
24.11.20
Measuring the representativeness of social partners in Europe
(joint blog with Marta Martínez Matute)
Are workers and firms well represented in social dialogue? In many countries,
affiliation rates to social partners (employer associations and trade unions) have
been decreasing for decades. However, social dialogue still regulates labour
conditions of a significant part of firms and workers through collective
agreements and, in some cases, their extensions. The result of this social
dialogue generally includes conditions over wages, working time, training, and
many other issues, with important effects on the labour market and the economy.
Given the importance of social dialogue, the representativeness of its constituents is critical. This is even more relevant in the present times in which countries are facing a pandemic and its aftermath. In general, if affiliation rates are low, there might be firms or workers for which their preferences are not represented and their views are not heard.
This post summarizes our recent working paper, “How representative are social partners in Europe? The role of dissimilarity” in which we propose a complementary measure of representativeness by comparing distributions of firms affiliated and not affiliated in employers’ associations. This corresponds to the analysis of dissimilarity or segregation that have been conducted in different settings but not in the context of labour representation. We also compared firms with trade unions or work council representatives. In both cases, we do so across industry and firm-size categories and for 32 European countries, using the European Company Survey and also detailed data on all firms in Portugal.
The results show that, in most countries, affiliated and non-affiliated firms are distributed in a dissimilar way, i.e. they are concentrated in different firm size categories, for instance. Moreover, we find a positive correlation between affiliation to employers´ associations and dissimilarity levels across countries. This means that higher affiliation rates do not necessarily equate to lower dissimilarity levels. For instance, while France, Spain, Portugal and Greece have similar affiliation levels of around 50%, they exhibit very different dissimilarity levels: Firms affiliated and non-affiliated to employers’ associations in France and Spain have very low dissimilarity levels (of about 20%), while firms in Portugal and Greece are much more dissimilar (around 33% and 45%, respectively).
The results above are also supported when analyzing the case of Portugal using better data and comparing across different employers’ associations.
Overall, these results show that the use of both affiliation and dissimilarity measures may be necessary to have a better understanding of representativeness of social partners and their preferences in the social dialogue.
24.9.20
Contributions to the discussion on the European Pillar of Social Rights
Thank you for the invitation to participate in this debate (link)
It is a great pleasure to do so and
also to meet Mr Nicolas Schmit again
The questions that were posed for
this debate concerned the gaps in the European Pillar of Social Rights
and the challenges in its implementation
These questions involved potential contributions
of the participants
In my short response, I would like to focus
on three inter-related subjects. I would also like to try to make relatively
concrete and novel proposals that may have some relevance for the
action plan.
The three subjects are the following:
-labour market information
-social dialogue and social partners
-public employment services
The first subject, labour market
information, is an area where there may be gaps in the pillar and also an
area where academics and researchers like myself could contribute
The pillar correctly emphasises the
importance of equal opportunities and access to the labour market. However, no
reference is made to the provision of labour market information in this regard.
This information may concern the employment
opportunities and wage levels that students or jobseekers may expect
depending on their choice of education or training courses. This information
would therefore support their choices and lead to better outcomes for all. This
is particularly important at a time where labour markets may be changing
rapidly.
This type of information can also be
of great use for governments and education and training providers to
improve the range and contents of the courses they offer.
Labour market information can also be
used to develop statistical indicators around the 20 principles of the
Pillar. These would be used to compare the extent to which the principles are gradually
achieved across member states and over time.
These indicators could also greatly
facilitate the monitoring and evaluation of different policies and
programmes and even contribute to benchmarking and mutual learning across the
EU.
The second subject I would like to
raise here is about social partners and social dialogue. Social dialogue
is a cornerstone of the European social model and it is fully appropriate that
the several principles of the Pillar make reference to the role of social
partners.
At the same time, it is important to
be aware of the considerable differences in representativeness of
the social partners across the EU. In Portugal, for instance, trade union
density is estimated at 15% and falling. In some other member states, trade
union density is even lower. Moreover, the distribution of unionised workers is
typically very uneven across sectors and job types.
I believe this situation calls for a debate
on the modernisation of employee (and employer) representation in Europe. Why
is it that so many workers are not affiliated with trade unions (or worker’s
councils)? Should there be more support for the modernisation of the existing trade
unions and employers’ associations and the emergence of new social partners?
I believe that social dialogue can be
an engine for economic growth, and economic growth is a key ingredient
behind the promotion of sustainable social rights. More representative social
partners can be very important in this process.
The third subject I wanted to raise
is public employment services.
These public agencies are key
operators behind the delivery of several of the principles of European
Pillar. These include some areas that will be more directly recognisable
as “European principles” by the general public. An important example is
principle 4, which includes the Youth Guarantee.
However, again there are significant
differences across member states in the ability of public employment
services to deliver effectively and efficiently and therefore fully meet the
goals of the European Pillar.
There is an important effort to be
made in some countries so that their public employment services can catch up
and get closer to the best performing PES in the EU. In this regard, further
support from the EU would potentially be very welcome.
Some efforts are already taking
place, including through the EU PES Network and its activities around bench-learning,
for instance. EURES is also a very important tool. However, I think there is a case
to be made for widening and strengthening of this support, taking place in
a larger and more systematic way.
For instance, this could involve widening
the remit of the new European Labour Authority to include public employment
services as well. This could facilitate the provision of additional support to
PES across the EU making sure that they are all better able to deliver
on the ambitious goals of the European Pillar.
Thank you for your attention
5.4.20
Do fim do princípio para o princípio do fim?
26.3.20
O potencial do teletrabalho em Portugal
17.3.20
What do employers' associations do?
Abstract: While trade unions have been studied in detail, there is virtually no economics research on employer associations (EAs), trade unions' counterparts in many countries. However, besides conducting collective bargaining, EAs perform several other activities that can in uence economic outcomes, including training and coordination. This paper studies the contributions of EAs by comparing affiliated and non-affiliated firms in terms of sales, employment, productivity, and wages. Using matched employer-employee panel data for Portugal, we find that affiliated firms exhibit better outcomes along most of these dimensions, even when drawing on changes in affiliation status over time; and that this affiliation premium tends to increase with EA coverage (defined as the percentage of workers in the relevant industry/region domain that are employed by affiliated firms). Sectors as a whole also appear to benefit from EA coverage, even if non-affiliated firms do worse.
13.3.20
New research on employee training and firm performance
LSE blog: http://cver-blog.blogspot.com/2020/03/training-grants-useful-policy-to.html